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Government Debt
vs Private Debt
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To understand the
difference between
government debt and private debt, we must first understand the distinct
roles
played by base money and bank money. This distinction is of
little
significance to the average person, but it is of crucial importance to
the
banking system.
Why the
Government
Borrows
When we adopted a
monetary base of
intrinsically worthless paper money in the mid-20th century, we created
a new
paradigm that is still widely misunderstood. The imperatives are
quite
different from those of the earlier gold-based system. The key to
maintaining the purchasing power of money is to control the price of
credit. That means controlling the cost to banks of acquiring the
reserves of base money they need to back their lending. It is up
to the
Treasury and Fed acting together to do that, and Treasury plays an
indispensable role.
The public borrows
from banks in order to
acquire transaction deposits (bank money) to spend on investment or
consumption. The government borrows from the public
only to recapture its deficit spending. Otherwise the money
supply could grow too rapidly and create unacceptable inflationary
pressures.
Rolling Over
Government
Debt
Nothing about
government debt in a fiat
money system requires that it be paid off. Of course individual
securities must be redeemed as they mature. But the Treasury can
roll
over its maturing debt indefinitely. Rolling over means selling
new
securities to pay for the redemption of maturing securities. This
involves no new tax revenues.
Treasury securities
offer a risk-free,
interest-earning alternative to base money spent into circulation by
the
government. If the private sector has more non-interest-earning
base
money in the aggregate than it wishes to hold, its only alternative is
to buy
Treasury securities. Since the Treasury can pay whatever interest
rate
the market demands, there will always be willing buyers of its
securities.
Government Debt
as
Perpetuities
The debt can be
carried indefinitely at no
financial risk to either the government or the private sector.
Individuals can become bankrupt with too much borrowing, but the
government can
never become bankrupt if it borrows in the same currency it
issues.
Government debt is
commonly regarded as a
future tax liability of the private sector. However the unique
position
of the government as issuer of the monetary base enables it to roll
over its
debt continuously. In doing so, its securities become the
functional
equivalent of perpetuities, i.e. bonds that never mature and thus are
never
redeemed. De facto, there can be no net tax liability on
perpetuities.
Net Financial
Wealth of the
Private Sector
Treasury securities
are valuable assets for
the holders. They can readily be sold for money or pledged as
collateral
for loans. Together with the monetary base they comprise the net financial
wealth of the private sector. By contrast, bank
lending
does not affect the financial wealth of the private sector because all
such
credit is matched by an equal amount of borrower debt.
The value of the
Treasury securities to the
private sector as a whole is not in the interest payments they
shed.
The interest payments are matched by tax revenues, and are therefore a wash in
the
aggregate. The value of the Treasury securities is in the principal, just as in the case of
Federal
Reserve notes. They represent stored financial wealth for the
holder. The public trades one for the other, depending on the
degree of
liquidity it desires at any given time.
The Upper Limit
to
Government Debt
If the net financial
wealth of the private
sector is allowed to grow too large, the penalty could be price
inflation due to
the
"wealth effect." But as long as the
private sector treats government securities as a savings vehicle, they are
benign
and a valuable asset for the nation.
The debt/GDP
ratio reached an all-time high
in World War II, well above what it is today. Yet the annualized
inflation rate was only 2% for a period of two decades following the
war.
During the Reagan and Bush administrations of 1981-1992, the inflation
rate
trended downward even though the debt quadrupled. If there is an
upper
limit to government debt in terms of its effect on price inflation, it
has yet
to be experienced.
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