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Money in Motion |
Two major
circular flows of money
characterize a modern economy. One is the reciprocal flow between
firms
and households within the private sector. The other is the
reciprocal
flow between the private sector and the government, represented here by
the
Treasury.
The notion
of money as a stock variable
whose quantity is controlled by the Fed is a fallacy. The real
nature of
money can only be understood as a flow variable. Money arises as
a result
of credit extension by banks, and varies in amount according to the borrowing
decisions
of producers and consumers. As will be explained, underlying all such credit is the monetary base created by the Fed.
Flows Within the Private
Sector
Within the private sector, the spending of one party is the income of
another. Workers can only be consumers to the extent that they
can sell
their services to firms for wages. Firms can only pay workers to
the
extent that they can sell their output to consumers. Income
circulation
is fundamental to a monetary economy. In general, the greater the
flow,
the more robust the economy.
The flow
consists mainly of transfers of
bank deposits. We will ignore
the
minor part played by notes and coins, which are used primarily in small
retail
transactions. Banks create deposits of credit money whenever they issue a
loan.
The demand for bank loans and the willingness of banks to lend
determines the
size of the credit money supply. The private sector itself
increases or
decreases the money supply with its borrowing and repayment
decisions.
However the private sector cannot create net
financial wealth through borrowing. All bank-issued credit is
matched by
equal liabilities, namely the deposits created to fund the loans.
For a
credit money transaction to clear,
the payer’s bank must surrender an equal amount of its reserves of base
money
to the payee’s bank. Base money refers to the monetary base. Every
credit money transaction requires an equal flow of base money between
banks to settle accounts. Thus base money is the
foundation
of the credit money system. We will see later how base money
enters the
system.
Flows Involving the
Government
The Treasury spends out
of its account at the Fed. It replenishes that account with
transfers
from commercial bank accounts where it deposits receipts from taxes and
the
sale of its securities - bills, notes, and bonds. Those commercial accounts are known
as
Treasury Tax and Loan (TT&L) accounts. The Treasury does not
accumulate funds in its TT&L accounts in excess of what it needs to
cover
its near term payment obligations.
All
payments and receipts with the
Treasury involve flows of base money. The Treasury will honor a
bank
check (credit money) from a tax payer only if the bank transfers an
equal
amount of reserves of base money to the TT&L bank where it deposits the check.
Otherwise the check will not clear.
Where does
the private sector get the
base money it needs to purchase the Treasury securities sold to cover
government deficit spending? In the
aggregate, it comes from the deficit spending itself. Government
spending transfers base money to the private sector. Private
sector payments to the government reverses that flow. On average,
the Treasury maintains a balanced flow of base money with the private
sector. Short term imbalances may occur, but on average government spending
does not cause a net
change in either the credit money or base money supply.
Fed Operations
The Fed creates base money by
purchasing Treasury securities from the private sector. It pays
by simply
crediting the seller’s bank with a reserve deposit at the Fed. At the same time, the bank credits the seller
with an equal deposit in his bank account. Conversely the Fed
reduces
reserves when it sells Treasury securities from its own portfolio,
which it
previously bought from the public.
The Fed does not have a target for the
total amount of banking system reserves. Rather it adds or drains
reserves only as needed to maintain the balance of supply and demand at
its
target Fed funds rate, i.e. the overnight interest rate in the
inter-bank
lending market. Then what causes total banking system reserves to
increase with time? As banks increase
their net lending in support of a growing economy, they need additional
reserves to back that lending. The Fed
must provide those reserves in order to maintain control of the Fed funds rate,
its
primary monetary policy tool.
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