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Monetary Reform
with a
National Depository
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Under the fractional reserve banking
system, banks create new deposits through lending without an equal
increase in bank reserves being required to back them. That leverage
gives large banks enormous
financial and political power that has often been misused. Far too
much bank lending now goes into purely speculative activities which
distort
the financial markets, inflate asset prices, increase the fragility of
the
financial system, encourage financial fraud, and serve no useful purpose in the real economy.
These
problems would be much less common with a banking system in which
deposits are required to be fully backed
by reserves. They would then no longer be able to leverage their bets. We will briefly describe the mechanics of a full
reserve banking system. Then we will show how it can be made simpler
and more efficient by consolidating the depository role of banks into a
single national depository.
Full Reserve Banking
Full
reserve banking would force banks to operate as ordinary
intermediaries because the reserves that come with new deposits would
be fully encumbered. Banks would therefore have limited incentive to seek new
depositors. Their value would be mainly as potential lenders
to the bank and customers for their loans. They would have to acquire the funds needed for their investments by borrowing, selling
assets, using retained earnings, and selling new bankshares.
A bank would need two accounts at the Fed, a reserve account
which must be continually matched with the deposits it holds, and an investment
account
which holds its discretionary funds. When a bank spends, the Fed would
debit the bank's investment account and credit the reserve
account of the payee’s bank. When a depositor spends, the Fed would debit the reserve account
of his bank and credit the reserve account of the payee's bank. In both
cases, the payee's bank would credit the payee with a new deposit.
Deposits
and reserves in a bank would remain in balance regardless of the
financial transactions by its depositors. Therefore the interbank
lending market, which serves to rebalance reserves in the fractional
reserve system, would not exist in the full reserve system. To control
the short-term interest rate, the Fed would have to operate on loanable funds
in the money market. It would add or drain funds via open market operations as needed to hold the interest rate
on target.
Full
reserve banking would be a definite impriovement over the fractional
reserve system. However there is a functional equivalent
which is simpler and more efficient. It uses a single national
depository holding deposits of actual base money rather than
private banks holding deposits as proxies for base money called
reserves. The remainder of this article
describes how such a system would work and how it could be put into
operaton.
A Single National Depository System
Suppose the government established a
National Depository run by the Fed to take over the depository role of
all existing banks. It would hold the transaction accounts of all who need
the payment services of a traditional bank. Deposits would earn no interest, and the Depository would neither lend nor borrow. It would simply execute
payment orders and exchange cash for deposits on demand.
One
should not confuse the National
Depository with a Federal Reserve Bank, which plays a quite
different role. However the computer used by the National Depository would be an
extension of
the Fed's computer system. The accounts at the National Depository together with the
circulating cash would comprise the entire money supply denominated in
the
national currency. The Fed would have control of total
deposits but would normally use it to manage the short-term interest
rate
rather than the money supply itself.
Payment orders
would
be accepted by electronic means via plastic cards, the Internet, Fed
wire, or telephone. Paper checks would be phased out, after which
verifying balances and
making payments would all be done in real time. Payments would be
executed by
simply transferring funds between accounts, except for transactions
with the Fed which would involve a transfer of funds in or out of the
Depository. Deposit insurance would be
eliminated since all deposits would be in custody of the Fed.
Banks would no longer be
able to create or accept deposits. They would become ordinary intermediaries whose basic business
is borrowing
in order to lend at a markup. Those
banks that commit to serve as agents of the National Depository and
provide payment services for account holders would be newly
chartered. All others would lose their charters and no longer be
allowed to call themselves banks, but
could continue to operate as ordinary intermediaries. To use the payment services of a bank, a customer would have to authorize the
bank to debit its account at the Depository for each specific payment. As agents of
the National Depository, banks would be allowed to
borrow and lend with the Fed. In addition, their customers would be
covered by government insurance on loans they made to the bank.
The
National Depository would also serve
the U.S. government and a limited set of foreign interests not detailed
here. All
of the Treasury's funds would be held in its account at the National
Depository where it would receive payments on Federal taxes and the
sale of its securities. Likewise all of Its public spending would
be paid out of its account at the Depository. To avoid impacting the
short-term
interest rate on loanable funds, the Treasury would have to sell or
redeem
securities as needed to maintain an approximate balance between its
inflows and
outflows, just as it does in the current system. That is a necessary
condition to enable the Fed to implement monetary policy.
Monetary Policy Implementation
Under normal economic conditions, the Fed implements
monetary policy by selecting and controlling the short term interest rate. In the
fractional reserve system, the Fed accomplishes that by adding or draining
reserves as needed to balance supply and demand at its target interest rate.
Since there are no reserves in a single national depository system, the Fed would
operate on the money supply itself. That can be done in various ways, but it
should be simple and efficient as in the following system:
The Fed would set policy by announcing a target for the annualized interest rate on overnight interbank loans, the Interbank Rate,
and adjusting the money supply to balance supply and demand at that
rate. It would set an upper bound on the cost to banks of
borrowing money by offering them renewable 7-day loans against adequate
collateral at an interest rate 50 basis points above the target rate,
called the Fed loan rate.
It would set a lower bound on the earnings of money held by banks by offering them
renewable 7-day interest-earning Fed deposits at 50 basis points below the
target rate, called the Fed deposit rate.
When interbank loans trade in the 100
basis point range between the Fed loan rate and the Fed deposit rate,
banks would have no incentive to trade outside of the interbank
market. However when the demand for money exceeds the supply, the
interbank rate could rise to the Fed loan rate, at which point banks
would have no incentive to borrow
in the interbank market. Conversely if the money supply exceeds the
demand, the interbank rate could fall to the Fed deposit rate, at which
point banks would have no incentive to lend in the interbank market.
By observing the interbank lending
rate and trading volume, the Fed could
determine the change in the money supply needed to balance supply and
demand at its target rate. It would then buy or sell
securities in the open market to increase or decrease the money supply
as
appropriate. With the Fed acting as needed to control the
short-term interest rate, the money supply would grow endogenously, i.e. as
a
function of the demand for loanable funds, just as it does for credit demand in the fractional reserve system.
Financial Service Companies (FSCs)
Financial service companies engage in a wide variety of activities. They buy and sell financial
instruments as diverse as bonds, mortgages, mutual fund shares, and
insurance
policies. Like everyone
else, their money
would be held in accounts at the National Depository. Since money earns no interest, FSCs
would normally hold only as much as they
need for near-term investments and payment obligations. Most of their
liquid assets would be in interest-earning short-term investments
like repos or Treasury bills and money market funds which could be quickly sold
for cash as needed. Firms and individuals seeking a return on their liquid assets have a variety
of options. For example they could purchase Treasury bills, money
market funds, or make short term loans to banks or other FSCs.
As government-chartered FSCs, banks
would be
restricted
in their financial instruments and held to tight capital adequacy
requirements. They would borrow
from the Fed mainly for liquidity management rather than as a
source of funds to lend. Their primary source of funds for
investment would be
through
loans from savers/investors, for which they would pay market rates.
Ensuring the loans by a government agency should provide incentives for
savers to lend to banks in preference to other FSCs, and thereby
enhance capital formation. Note that insurance on loans to banks plays
a
role similar to deposit
insurance in the fractional reserve banking system.
FSCs differ widely in the degree to which they mismatch the
maturity of their assets versus liabilities. Mismatching creates a potential cash
flow problem. The main concern is a systemic failure in which default
by a major FSC could bring down many others due to the cascading of liabilities
among them. A single national depository system would not automatically end
excessive risk-taking. Therefore capital adequacy requirements should
be imposed on all FSCs. For those designated as "too large to fail"
because of the chaos a failure might create, the required ratio of capital
to risk-adjusted assets should be an increasing function of the mismatch in
their maturities.
Government insurance should not be
provided on financial
instruments other than loans to banks. Bond rating firms should rate the
credit
worthiness of FSCs as institutions, which would be of value to
investors. Perhaps more importantly, FSCs would tend to avoid
practices that
reflect badly on their assets.
Implementing the System
Implementing a single national depository system could not be done
overnight. It would have to be carefully planned and phased in slowly
enough to give all parties adequate time to make the necessary
adjustments. A logical way to proceed would be to periodically increase
the reserve ratio requirement on banks until it reached 100 percent. During
that period, banks would have to pay off and close out their
interest-earning deposits. To acquire the funds, they would probably
need to call loans and downsize their balance sheets. The Fed would also have to adjust reserves as needed.
When the reserve ratio requirement
reached 100 percent, all bank deposit liabilities should have been paid
off, leaving only demand deposits fully backed by reserves. The
transition from a multi-bank fractional
reserve system to a single national depository system would be complete when
the
demand deposits and their reserves were transferred to the National Depository.
Since money in the National Depository earns
no interest, the total would be
considerably less than total deposits in banks in the fractional
reserve system. As a rough estimate, the National Depository would initially hold
an amount equal to then current checkable deposits in banks, plus some fraction of savings deposits, plus eurodollar deposits.
Advantages of a Single National Depository System
The
financial system would be more robust. When a bank must spend cash to
issue a loan, it would tend be more diligent in credit analysis. Lending to highly leveraged borrowers would be reduced, decreasing the likelihood
of asset price bubbles and subsequent crashes.
The
political and economic power of large FSCs would be reduced, which would
reduce the cost of financial services to the overall economy and the
share of profits going to the financial sector.
The
payment system would be much simpler. With all deposits and transactions running on a single computer system,
sufficient funds could be verified in real time and payments executed
without delay, thus eliminating checking system float with its
associated costs.
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